AI ON RECORD

AGI

“We would have artificial general intelligence by 2027.”

Roman Yampolskiy · said 2025 · deadline by 2027

COMPUTE

“The total amount of sentient compute of AI will probably exceed all humans within five years.”

Elon Musk · said Apr 2024 · deadline within five years

AGI

“AI will reach human-level intelligence by 2029.”

Ray Kurzweil · said 1999 · deadline by 2029

JOBS

“AI could eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years.”

Dario Amodei · said May 2025 · deadline within five years

JOBS

“US unemployment could spike to between 10 and 20 percent within one to five years.”

Dario Amodei · said May 2025 · deadline within five years

AGI

“AGI will arrive before the end of 2030.”

unattributed · deadline Dec 31, 2030

JOBS

“Unemployment will reach 99 percent by 2030.”

Roman Yampolskiy · said 2025 · deadline by 2030

AGI

“I think AGI will start to emerge within the next five to ten years.”

Demis Hassabis · said Mar 2025 · deadline five to ten years

CAPABILITIES

“AI will be writing 90 percent of code within three to six months.”

Dario Amodei · said Mar 2025 · closed Sep 2025

927 on record

JOBS

“We may see the first AI agents join the workforce in 2025 and materially change the output of companies.”

Sam Altman · said Jan 2025 · closed Dec 2025

657 on record

CAPABILITIES

“My guess is that we will have AI that is smarter than any one human, probably around the end of 2025.”

Elon Musk · said Apr 2024 · closed Dec 2025

617 on record

JOBS

“Probably in 2025 we will have an AI that can effectively be a mid-level engineer that can write code.”

Mark Zuckerberg · said Jan 2025 · closed Dec 2025

419 on record