CAPABILITIES
“AI will be writing 90 percent of code within three to six months.”
- Said
- Mar 2025
- Closed
- Sep 2025
- Source
- report →
- Verdict
- false
What would settle this
Requires credible evidence that around 90 percent of code being written is machine-generated — industry surveys, platform telemetry, or a comparable measure. Judged against software development broadly, not one company.
Written when the claim went on the record, on 7 August 2026, before the outcome was known. How the record works →
55% of readers said no. Readers called it.
927 on record
Six months on there was no evidence anywhere near 90 percent of code was AI-written, and studies over the same period found AI tools slowing experienced developers down rather than replacing them.
Voting closed when the deadline passed. What readers thought is kept as it stood. Think this verdict is wrong? Tell us — with evidence, it gets reversed and the change is logged.
About Dario Amodei
Chief executive and co-founder of Anthropic, previously vice president of research at OpenAI. Has written that powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026 while noting the timeline could run much longer, and has argued for aggressive safety work alongside capability research.
Also on record
On the record