AGI
“AI will reach human-level intelligence by 2029.”
- Said
- 1999
- Deadline
- by 2029
- Source
- book →
- Verdict
- not yet
What would settle this
Kurzweil's own framing is a machine passing a properly administered Turing test and matching the most skilled humans across essentially all domains. He allows a few years of transition beyond 2029 on a small number of skills; that grace period does not extend the deadline here.
Written when the claim went on the record, on 7 August 2026, before the outcome was known. How the record works →
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About Ray Kurzweil
Inventor and futurist who has predicted since the 1990s that machines would match human intelligence around 2029, with a broader technological singularity following in the 2040s. Has restated that timeline repeatedly across decades.
On the record